Minority Report

Eagle, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Eagle County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°0%
US model (GFS)56°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°32°0%
German model (ICON)58°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°23°0%
The average56°25°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°29°13%
US model (GFS)60°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°20°0%
The average56°29°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 44%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 44%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°54%
US model (GFS)46°35°47%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°39%
German model (ICON)52°33°41%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°38%
The average49°32°44%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 22%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°2%
US model (GFS)49°36°17%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°22%
German model (ICON)51°33°33%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°37%
The average50°32°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.