Minority Report

Eagle River, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Keweenaw County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 37°   Low 34°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 70%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°55%
US model (GFS)36°33°11%
European model (ECMWF)37°34°97%
German model (ICON)38°35°95%
Canadian model (GEM)37°34°90%
The average37°34°70%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 34°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 49%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°35°28%
US model (GFS)36°33°12%
European model (ECMWF)37°33°73%
German model (ICON)40°36°80%
Canadian model (GEM)38°34°54%
The average37°34°49%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 5%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°32°0%
US model (GFS)38°34°5%
European model (ECMWF)40°33°0%
German model (ICON)39°38°18%
Canadian model (GEM)38°28°0%
The average39°33°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°34°0%
US model (GFS)43°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°0%
German model (ICON)46°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°28°0%
The average43°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.