Minority Report

Eagle River, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vilas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 34°   Low 28°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 39%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°34%
US model (GFS)34°30°17%
European model (ECMWF)35°30°49%
German model (ICON)36°30°73%
Canadian model (GEM)32°29°24%
The average34°28°39%

Friday, November 13

High 34°   Low 26°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°24°18%
US model (GFS)33°26°12%
European model (ECMWF)34°29°33%
German model (ICON)34°28°13%
Canadian model (GEM)33°24°0%
The average34°26°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 38°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°22°0%
US model (GFS)39°28°1%
European model (ECMWF)37°28°0%
German model (ICON)38°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°19°0%
The average38°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°0%
German model (ICON)44°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°18°0%
The average42°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.