Minority Report

Easton, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Northampton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°92%
US model (GFS)55°45°95%
European model (ECMWF)56°46°100%
German model (ICON)54°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)59°44°100%
The average56°43°97%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°96%
US model (GFS)45°35°92%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°97%
German model (ICON)45°38°100%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°100%
The average45°35°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 15%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)43°32°6%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°4%
German model (ICON)45°35°23%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°43%
The average44°33°15%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°0%
US model (GFS)44°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°0%
German model (ICON)47°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°0%
The average46°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.