Minority Report

Eaton, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Preble County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 39°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 57%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°74%
US model (GFS)50°39°25%
European model (ECMWF)51°40°66%
German model (ICON)52°41°40%
Canadian model (GEM)52°38°79%
The average51°39°57%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 42%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°27%
US model (GFS)41°32°25%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°61%
German model (ICON)43°35°33%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°66%
The average42°33°42%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°0%
German model (ICON)44°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°0%
The average44°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°0%
US model (GFS)46°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°2%
German model (ICON)49°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°0%
The average46°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.