Minority Report

Eau Claire, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Eau Claire County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 31°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 49 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°3%
US model (GFS)40°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)38°33°15%
German model (ICON)41°32°50%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°24%
The average39°31°19%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°24°1%
US model (GFS)38°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)38°29°0%
German model (ICON)40°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°25°0%
The average39°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°25°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°27°0%
German model (ICON)42°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°21°0%
The average42°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)47°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°16°0%
The average46°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.