Minority Report

Ebensburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cambria County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 81%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°32%
US model (GFS)45°35°73%
European model (ECMWF)47°36°100%
German model (ICON)46°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°37°100%
The average47°35°81%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 30°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°29°34%
US model (GFS)35°30°20%
European model (ECMWF)37°32°68%
German model (ICON)36°30°88%
Canadian model (GEM)37°31°62%
The average36°30°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 36°   Low 30°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 64%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°31°57%
US model (GFS)36°30°66%
European model (ECMWF)35°30°80%
German model (ICON)36°29°70%
Canadian model (GEM)37°30°48%
The average36°30°64%

Sunday, November 15

High 39°   Low 32°   Rain 52%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°31°45%
US model (GFS)38°31°66%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°63%
German model (ICON)39°34°42%
Canadian model (GEM)36°31°42%
The average39°32°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.