Minority Report

Edenton, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chowan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 52°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 7%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°1%
US model (GFS)72°53°26%
European model (ECMWF)70°56°10%
German model (ICON)70°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°0%
The average71°52°7%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 8%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°38°6%
US model (GFS)58°45°24%
European model (ECMWF)57°49°4%
German model (ICON)58°41°8%
Canadian model (GEM)60°46°0%
The average59°44°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°38°0%
US model (GFS)52°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)53°38°0%
The average53°38°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°0%
US model (GFS)54°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°43°0%
German model (ICON)58°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average56°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.