Edgartown, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dukes County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 56° Low 47° Rain 100%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 47° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 46° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 49° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 49° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 45° | 100% |
| The average | 56° | 47° | 100% |
High 50° Low 43° Rain 78%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 41° | 73% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 44° | 57% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 46° | 95% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 42° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 44° | 100% |
| The average | 50° | 43° | 78% |
High 46° Low 40° Rain 21%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 40° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 41° | 11% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 41° | 17% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 39° | 23% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 38° | 37% |
| The average | 46° | 40° | 21% |
High 48° Low 40° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 40° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 39° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 40° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 40° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.