Minority Report

Edinburg, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hidalgo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 62°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—57°0%
US model (GFS)76°64°1%
European model (ECMWF)78°65°0%
German model (ICON)76°64°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°61°0%
The average77°62°0%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 58°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°62°19%
US model (GFS)76°59°2%
European model (ECMWF)78°59°0%
German model (ICON)78°60°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°53°0%
The average77°58°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 79°   Low 64°   Rain 34%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°67°36%
US model (GFS)77°63°34%
European model (ECMWF)80°65°35%
German model (ICON)80°66°35%
Canadian model (GEM)80°59°29%
The average79°64°34%

Sunday, November 15

High 84°   Low 69°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 30%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service83°65°22%
US model (GFS)83°69°17%
European model (ECMWF)86°70°51%
German model (ICON)84°70°24%
Canadian model (GEM)87°70°38%
The average84°69°30%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.