Minority Report

Edmonton, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Metcalfe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 51%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°20%
US model (GFS)55°42°14%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°82%
German model (ICON)56°42°58%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°81%
The average56°40°51%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 36%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°43%
US model (GFS)43°34°13%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°75%
German model (ICON)44°34°20%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°29%
The average44°34°36%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°2%
German model (ICON)48°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)47°22°24%
The average48°29°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°23°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.