Minority Report

Edwardsville, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Madison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°3%
US model (GFS)50°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°10%
German model (ICON)50°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°34°5%
The average50°35°4%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°4%
US model (GFS)45°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°0%
German model (ICON)46°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°28°0%
The average44°30°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
German model (ICON)49°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°22°0%
The average48°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°29°0%
German model (ICON)53°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°17°0%
The average52°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.