Minority Report

El Centro, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Imperial County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 86°   Low 57°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—62°6%
US model (GFS)85°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)86°58°0%
German model (ICON)86°59°0%
Canadian model (GEM)86°49°0%
The average86°57°1%

Friday, November 13

High 81°   Low 59°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service81°61°7%
US model (GFS)81°60°4%
European model (ECMWF)82°61°8%
German model (ICON)81°60°5%
Canadian model (GEM)80°53°5%
The average81°59°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 79°   Low 59°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°56°1%
US model (GFS)76°58°3%
European model (ECMWF)79°63°2%
German model (ICON)80°62°0%
Canadian model (GEM)81°56°0%
The average79°59°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 77°   Low 58°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°58°0%
US model (GFS)75°64°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°58°0%
German model (ICON)78°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°53°0%
The average77°58°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.