Minority Report

El Paso, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of El Paso County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)73°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°48°0%
German model (ICON)72°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°41°0%
The average72°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 65%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 65%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°52°71%
US model (GFS)70°47°60%
European model (ECMWF)74°51°76%
German model (ICON)69°47°68%
Canadian model (GEM)70°40°52%
The average71°48°65%

Saturday, November 14

High 67°   Low 49°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 31%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°52°2%
US model (GFS)66°47°19%
European model (ECMWF)67°49°57%
German model (ICON)66°50°28%
Canadian model (GEM)67°46°48%
The average67°49°31%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°47°0%
US model (GFS)65°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°47°2%
German model (ICON)65°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°39°0%
The average65°47°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.