Minority Report

El Reno, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Canadian County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)68°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°44°0%
German model (ICON)68°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°42°0%
The average68°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°0%
US model (GFS)55°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°38°0%
The average56°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 75%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°41°77%
US model (GFS)56°35°74%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°80%
German model (ICON)56°36°77%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°66%
The average56°38°75%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 40°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°93%
US model (GFS)45°41°91%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°99%
German model (ICON)44°40°97%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°95%
The average45°40°95%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.