Minority Report

Eldora, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hardin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°0%
US model (GFS)43°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°0%
German model (ICON)40°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average41°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°21°0%
US model (GFS)38°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°27°0%
German model (ICON)39°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°20°0%
The average39°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°24°0%
US model (GFS)43°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°25°0%
German model (ICON)42°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°16°0%
The average43°23°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°26°0%
German model (ICON)47°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°14°0%
The average46°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.