Minority Report

Eldorado, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Schleicher County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)73°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°0%
German model (ICON)70°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°48°0%
The average71°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 49°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°50°21%
US model (GFS)68°49°1%
European model (ECMWF)69°49°0%
German model (ICON)69°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°46°0%
The average70°49°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 52°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°54°53%
US model (GFS)62°50°43%
European model (ECMWF)65°52°92%
German model (ICON)62°54°85%
Canadian model (GEM)71°53°34%
The average65°52°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 68°   Low 49°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 40%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°45°11%
US model (GFS)70°51°35%
European model (ECMWF)67°50°66%
German model (ICON)70°51°48%
Canadian model (GEM)70°47°38%
The average68°49°40%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.