Minority Report

Elizabeth City, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pasquotank County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 49°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°3%
US model (GFS)71°50°14%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°8%
German model (ICON)70°52°3%
Canadian model (GEM)72°49°5%
The average71°49°7%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 41°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°1%
US model (GFS)56°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°45°0%
German model (ICON)58°42°3%
Canadian model (GEM)61°45°5%
The average58°41°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°38°0%
The average52°36°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)57°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°34°0%
The average56°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.