Elizabeth, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 60° Low 47° Rain 94%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 43° | 81% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 48° | 91% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 48° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 49° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 61° | 48° | 100% |
| The average | 60° | 47° | 94% |
High 48° Low 36° Rain 97%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 36° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 38° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 35° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 38° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 48° | 36° | 97% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 23%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 37° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 16% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 34° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 33° | 41% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 23% |
High 48° Low 36° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 36° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 40° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.