Elizabethton, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carter County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 41° Rain 82%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 47% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 41° | 64% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 57° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 43° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 44° | 100% |
| The average | 55° | 41° | 82% |
High 44° Low 36° Rain 87%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 31° | 78% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 37° | 61% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 36° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 38° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 36° | 87% |
High 41° Low 29° Rain 61%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 27° | 21% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 30° | 25% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 31° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 34° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 25° | 90% |
| The average | 41° | 29° | 61% |
High 46° Low 29° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 28° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 29° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.