Elizabethtown, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hardin County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 58° Low 37° Rain 16%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 37° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 40° | 45% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 37° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 37° | 14% |
| The average | 58° | 37° | 16% |
High 46° Low 33° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 26° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 33° | 2% |
High 50° Low 29° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 29° | 0% |
High 53° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.