Elizabethtown, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hardin County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 40° Rain 47%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 40° | 24% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 42° | 83% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 41° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 41° | 39% |
| The average | 56° | 40° | 47% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 41%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 53% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 35° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 80% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 33% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 33° | 24% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 41% |
High 48° Low 30° Rain 5%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 31° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 32° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 27° | 15% |
| The average | 48° | 30° | 5% |
High 51° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.