Elkhart, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morton County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 70° Low 39° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 72° | 41° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 70° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 39° | 0% |
| The average | 70° | 39° | 0% |
High 60° Low 38° Rain 2%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 61° | 40° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 40° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 38° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 60° | 38° | 2% |
High 47° Low 39° Rain 87%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 38° | 93% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 37° | 90% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 42° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 38° | 75% |
| The average | 47° | 39° | 87% |
High 45° Low 39° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 87 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 36° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 41° | 90% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 40° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 40° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 36° | 82% |
| The average | 45° | 39° | 72% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.