Minority Report

Elkhorn, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Walworth County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 8%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°5%
US model (GFS)42°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°14%
German model (ICON)43°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°14%
The average42°32°8%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°8%
US model (GFS)40°29°2%
European model (ECMWF)40°29°0%
German model (ICON)41°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°28°5%
The average41°29°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°0%
US model (GFS)43°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°27°0%
German model (ICON)44°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average43°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°18°0%
The average45°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.