Minority Report

Elko, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Elko County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)64°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°33°0%
German model (ICON)59°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°18°0%
The average59°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 31°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 92%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°31°99%
US model (GFS)59°37°66%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°97%
German model (ICON)60°32°98%
Canadian model (GEM)58°20°100%
The average58°31°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 93 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 72%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°23°7%
US model (GFS)47°34°86%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°100%
German model (ICON)48°35°73%
Canadian model (GEM)47°19°92%
The average47°29°72%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°7%
US model (GFS)51°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°31°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°1%
Canadian model (GEM)48°18°0%
The average51°29°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.