Elkton, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cecil County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 63° Low 48° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 42° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 49° | 58% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 64° | 50° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 50° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 48° | 76% |
| The average | 63° | 48° | 72% |
High 49° Low 37° Rain 71%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 34° | 63% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 36° | 58% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 38° | 88% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 38° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 39° | 67% |
| The average | 49° | 37° | 71% |
High 47° Low 35° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 34° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 34° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 36° | 21% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 34° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 38° | 39% |
| The average | 47° | 35° | 22% |
High 50° Low 36° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.