Minority Report

Ellendale, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dickey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—20°0%
US model (GFS)38°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°26°0%
German model (ICON)37°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°21°0%
The average38°24°0%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 21°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°19°0%
US model (GFS)34°18°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°25°0%
German model (ICON)39°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°18°0%
The average38°21°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°21°0%
The average44°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°34°0%
US model (GFS)53°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°0%
The average52°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.