Ellijay, GA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gilmer County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 58° Low 43° Rain 73%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 93 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 44° | 64% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 58° | 46° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 46° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 46° | 100% |
| The average | 58° | 43° | 73% |
High 47° Low 36° Rain 9%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 32° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 36° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 40° | 25% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 36° | 10% |
| The average | 47° | 36° | 9% |
High 49° Low 32° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 35° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 34° | 2% |
| The average | 49° | 32° | 2% |
High 55° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.