Ellsworth, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ellsworth County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 34° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 34° | 0% |
High 49° Low 29° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 29° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 26° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 29° | 0% |
High 50° Low 31° Rain 17%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 34° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 28° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 34° | 14% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 30° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 29° | 27% |
| The average | 50° | 31° | 17% |
High 48° Low 37° Rain 39%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 31° | 35% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 39° | 24% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 38° | 30% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 40° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 35° | 79% |
| The average | 48° | 37° | 39% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.