Ellsworth, ME — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hancock County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 31° Rain 7%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 27° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 31° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 31° | 7% |
High 43° Low 32° Rain 14%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 25° | 29% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 32° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 34° | 16% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 36° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 33° | 6% |
| The average | 43° | 32° | 14% |
High 43° Low 30° Rain 9%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 26° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 30° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 31° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 6% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 30° | 14% |
| The average | 43° | 30° | 9% |
High 44° Low 31° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 28° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 29° | 4% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 31° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 34° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 35° | 19% |
| The average | 44° | 31° | 8% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.