Elmira, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chemung County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 47° Low 34° Rain 98%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 27° | 92% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 35° | 99% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 36° | 100% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 98% |
High 38° Low 32° Rain 92%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 26° | 75% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 33° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 33° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 33° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 38° | 32° | 92% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 34%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 29° | 42% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 33° | 33% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 33° | 31% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 34° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 34° | 25% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 34% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 32%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 42% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 35% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 36° | 35% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 36° | 31% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 33° | 19% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 32% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.