Minority Report

Elwood, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gosper County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°1%
US model (GFS)52°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°33°0%
The average50°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°0%
US model (GFS)43°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°0%
German model (ICON)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°28°0%
The average47°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°14%
US model (GFS)47°27°5%
European model (ECMWF)42°31°8%
German model (ICON)45°30°8%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°26%
The average44°30°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 16%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°9%
US model (GFS)45°38°12%
European model (ECMWF)49°37°10%
German model (ICON)45°35°18%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°33%
The average46°35°16%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.