Minority Report

Ely, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of White Pine County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)59°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°31°0%
German model (ICON)58°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°21°0%
The average58°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°99%
US model (GFS)52°35°81%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°100%
German model (ICON)52°41°88%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°100%
The average51°35°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 25°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 86 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 78%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°14%
US model (GFS)40°32°88%
European model (ECMWF)42°27°100%
German model (ICON)42°28°88%
Canadian model (GEM)44°18°100%
The average42°25°78%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°3%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°27°0%
German model (ICON)51°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°18°0%
The average49°27°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.