Elyria, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lorain County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 49° Low 42° Rain 85%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 41% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 43° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 42° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 42° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 44° | 100% |
| The average | 49° | 42° | 85% |
High 43° Low 37° Rain 76%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 36° | 69% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 38° | 59% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 39° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 39° | 64% |
| The average | 43° | 37° | 76% |
High 44° Low 37° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 35° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 38° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 36° | 95% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 38° | 65% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 37° | 63% |
| The average | 44° | 37° | 57% |
High 45° Low 38° Rain 18%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 34° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 44° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 39° | 14% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 38° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 44% |
| The average | 45° | 38° | 18% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.