Minority Report

Emmetsburg, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Palo Alto County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)41°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°0%
German model (ICON)40°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°23°0%
The average41°26°0%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°19°0%
US model (GFS)38°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°27°0%
German model (ICON)37°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°17°0%
The average39°22°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 21°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°0%
US model (GFS)44°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°25°0%
German model (ICON)43°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°14°0%
The average43°21°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°27°0%
German model (ICON)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°14°0%
The average47°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.