Minority Report

Emmett, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gem County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)62°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°39°0%
German model (ICON)61°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°37°0%
The average60°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 41°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 87%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°42°94%
US model (GFS)67°40°57%
European model (ECMWF)68°43°98%
German model (ICON)68°43°93%
Canadian model (GEM)64°39°95%
The average67°41°87%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 96 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 78%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°39°4%
US model (GFS)55°42°92%
European model (ECMWF)57°43°100%
German model (ICON)56°45°95%
Canadian model (GEM)58°38°99%
The average56°41°78%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 37%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°40°49%
US model (GFS)60°44°16%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°37%
German model (ICON)59°47°58%
Canadian model (GEM)61°37°24%
The average60°42°37%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.