Minority Report

Emory, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rains County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)76°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°53°0%
German model (ICON)75°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°50°0%
The average76°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°42°1%
US model (GFS)66°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°51°0%
German model (ICON)64°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°51°0%
The average66°48°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 44°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°43°47%
US model (GFS)63°42°10%
European model (ECMWF)63°46°34%
German model (ICON)60°43°32%
Canadian model (GEM)61°48°10%
The average61°44°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 43°   Rain 90%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 90%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°42°92%
US model (GFS)55°43°79%
European model (ECMWF)52°44°98%
German model (ICON)51°43°93%
Canadian model (GEM)53°43°90%
The average53°43°90%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.