Minority Report

Emporia, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lyon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°30°0%
The average54°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)47°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°23°0%
The average47°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 26°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°4%
US model (GFS)49°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)51°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°18°0%
The average50°26°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°13%
US model (GFS)49°39°11%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°2%
German model (ICON)52°32°11%
Canadian model (GEM)49°30°19%
The average50°33°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.