Emporium, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cameron County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 47° Low 36° Rain 88%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 49 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 51% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 37° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 38° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 47° | 36° | 88% |
High 39° Low 33° Rain 55%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 29° | 30% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 33° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 86% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 34° | 69% |
| The average | 39° | 33° | 55% |
High 42° Low 33° Rain 21%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 26% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 33° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 14% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 33° | 36% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 34° | 14% |
| The average | 42° | 33° | 21% |
High 42° Low 33° Rain 17%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 27° | 19% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 37° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 35° | 17% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 34° | 11% |
| The average | 42° | 33° | 17% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.