Minority Report

English, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crawford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 70 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 52%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°14%
US model (GFS)54°38°37%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°84%
Canadian model (GEM)53°37°71%
The average54°38°52%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 29%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 29%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°32%
US model (GFS)45°33°11%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°40%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°33%
The average45°34°29%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°28°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°26°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.