Minority Report

Ephrata, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 2%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°40°3%
US model (GFS)48°43°0%
German model (ICON)51°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°41°5%
The average51°42°2%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 42°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 46%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°40°46%
US model (GFS)53°43°27%
German model (ICON)59°45°55%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°57%
The average57°42°46%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°40°73%
US model (GFS)56°42°28%
German model (ICON)56°44°11%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°7%
The average56°41°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 81%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 81%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°73%
US model (GFS)49°43°70%
German model (ICON)51°47°84%
Canadian model (GEM)53°41°96%
The average51°42°81%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.