Erwin, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Unicoi County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 42° Rain 87%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 66% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 43° | 67% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 43° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 44° | 100% |
| The average | 56° | 42° | 87% |
High 43° Low 35° Rain 83%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 31° | 81% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 36° | 51% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 36° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 35° | 96% |
| The average | 43° | 35° | 83% |
High 40° Low 29° Rain 55%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 29° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 26° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 30° | 76% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 35° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 25° | 89% |
| The average | 40° | 29° | 55% |
High 45° Low 28° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 25° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 28° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.