Minority Report

Escanaba, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Delta County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 82 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 53%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°55%
US model (GFS)40°34°43%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°13%
German model (ICON)41°34°95%
Canadian model (GEM)39°34°58%
The average40°33°53%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 47%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°34°35%
US model (GFS)39°32°19%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°52%
German model (ICON)41°33°53%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°76%
The average40°33°47%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°27°5%
US model (GFS)40°35°4%
European model (ECMWF)41°32°0%
German model (ICON)42°35°10%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°34%
The average41°32°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average45°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.