Essex County, MA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Essex County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 53° Low 42° Rain 93%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 41° | 69% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 42° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 41° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 46° | 98% |
| The average | 53° | 42° | 93% |
High 45° Low 36° Rain 94%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 35° | 80% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 37° | 88% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 35° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 36° | 94% |
High 45° Low 32° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 32° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 33° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 32° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 32° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 32° | 5% |
High 47° Low 33° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 33° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.