Minority Report

Eufaula, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McIntosh County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°1%
US model (GFS)68°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°52°0%
German model (ICON)66°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°50°0%
The average66°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°39°0%
US model (GFS)55°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°45°0%
German model (ICON)53°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°43°0%
The average54°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 41°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 17%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°43°39%
US model (GFS)60°39°6%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°15%
German model (ICON)59°40°10%
Canadian model (GEM)57°41°17%
The average57°41°17%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 43°   Rain 79%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°43°80%
US model (GFS)50°41°74%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°81%
German model (ICON)49°42°70%
Canadian model (GEM)51°43°90%
The average49°43°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.