Minority Report

Eureka, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greenwood County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)59°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°34°0%
The average58°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)49°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average49°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°35°9%
US model (GFS)52°26°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°1%
German model (ICON)52°26°4%
Canadian model (GEM)52°21°0%
The average52°28°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 23%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°22%
US model (GFS)45°41°17%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°12%
German model (ICON)49°36°14%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°48%
The average48°37°23%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.