Minority Report

Eureka, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Eureka County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)58°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°38°0%
German model (ICON)56°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average56°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 34°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 88%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°100%
US model (GFS)52°32°69%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°100%
German model (ICON)52°33°73%
Canadian model (GEM)49°38°100%
The average50°34°88%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 95 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°26°5%
US model (GFS)38°32°70%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°100%
German model (ICON)41°32°90%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°100%
The average40°30°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°33°5%
US model (GFS)46°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°1%
German model (ICON)49°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average47°33°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.