Minority Report

Evanston, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Uinta County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)63°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°26°0%
German model (ICON)60°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°22°0%
The average60°26°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 28°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°77%
US model (GFS)55°30°3%
European model (ECMWF)53°30°0%
German model (ICON)54°27°13%
Canadian model (GEM)55°21°38%
The average55°28°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°25°77%
US model (GFS)38°27°75%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°71%
German model (ICON)43°33°83%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°76%
The average42°30°76%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)47°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average47°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.