Minority Report

Evansville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vanderburgh County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 42 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 25%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°3%
US model (GFS)55°37°27%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°45%
German model (ICON)56°36°35%
Canadian model (GEM)57°37°14%
The average56°38°25%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 5%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°19%
US model (GFS)43°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°2%
German model (ICON)46°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)47°33°0%
The average46°33°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°26°0%
The average50°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°20°0%
The average53°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.