Fairbanks, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fairbanks North Star Borough.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 19° Low 11° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 19° | 11° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 19° | 11° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 16° | 10° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 21° | 15° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 19° | 6° | 5% |
| The average | 19° | 11° | 5% |
High 19° Low 13° Rain 6%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 20° | 12° | 18% |
| US model (GFS) | 16° | 9° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 18° | 12° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 20° | 17° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 23° | 13° | 0% |
| The average | 19° | 13° | 6% |
High 20° Low 14° Rain 17%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 20° | 10° | 16% |
| US model (GFS) | 18° | 11° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 22° | 18° | 16% |
| German model (ICON) | 23° | 17° | 26% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 19° | 11° | 19% |
| The average | 20° | 14° | 17% |
High 21° Low 13° Rain 9%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 20°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 21° | 15° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 17° | 11° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 20° | 17° | 24% |
| German model (ICON) | 32° | 16° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 12° | 7° | 5% |
| The average | 21° | 13° | 9% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.